Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.034213 0.037274 0.040351 0.043670 0.047141 0.050661 0.054492
2025-12-28 0.028588 0.033064 0.037710 0.042870 0.048420 0.054186 0.060611
2026-01-04 0.024909 0.030425 0.036320 0.043034 0.050420 0.058248 0.067128
2026-01-11 0.022291 0.028625 0.035572 0.043660 0.052726 0.062493 0.073730
2026-01-18 0.020084 0.027047 0.034872 0.044163 0.054751 0.066317 0.079784
2026-01-25 0.017039 0.024235 0.032545 0.042626 0.054319 0.067276 0.082546
2026-02-01 0.015001 0.022444 0.031255 0.042145 0.054969 0.069350 0.086469
2026-02-08 0.013390 0.021041 0.030311 0.041971 0.055887 0.071660 0.090601
2026-02-15 0.012646 0.020662 0.030557 0.043168 0.058373 0.075742 0.096731
2026-02-22 0.011851 0.020151 0.030586 0.044059 0.060463 0.079342 0.102293
2026-03-01 0.010956 0.019436 0.030305 0.044525 0.062012 0.082286 0.107079
2026-03-08 0.010026 0.018603 0.029820 0.044695 0.063168 0.084742 0.111278
2026-03-15 0.009493 0.018310 0.030040 0.045771 0.065466 0.088604 0.117195
2026-03-22 0.008300 0.016985 0.028841 0.045003 0.065473 0.089726 0.119889
2026-03-29 0.007561 0.016272 0.028418 0.045198 0.066646 0.092225 0.124200
2026-04-05 0.007045 0.015855 0.028369 0.045854 0.068377 0.095387 0.129290
2026-04-12 0.006529 0.015396 0.028234 0.046377 0.069928 0.098321 0.134108
2026-04-19 0.005427 0.013893 0.026558 0.044799 0.068775 0.097934 0.134925
2026-04-26 0.004742 0.013012 0.025722 0.044305 0.068970 0.099169 0.137669
2026-05-03 0.004203 0.012331 0.025140 0.044126 0.069548 0.100859 0.140951
2026-05-10 0.004055 0.012344 0.025587 0.045358 0.071955 0.104812 0.146980
2026-05-17 0.003842 0.012217 0.025810 0.046275 0.073948 0.108253 0.152390
2026-05-24 0.003546 0.011902 0.025730 0.046756 0.075362 0.110970 0.156919